Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.102340 0.159821 0.227742 0.311139 0.408434 0.516411 0.643528
2025-11-16 0.023177 0.076875 0.160378 0.280745 0.437183 0.624515 0.858136
2025-11-23 0.003162 0.042780 0.128483 0.269246 0.465731 0.711613 1.027734
2025-11-30 NaN 0.026552 0.114730 0.276670 0.514788 0.821669 1.223889
2025-12-07 NaN 0.013586 0.097480 0.272904 0.544620 0.904529 1.384447
2025-12-14 NaN 0.004347 0.077190 0.258220 0.555348 0.960249 1.509495
2025-12-21 NaN 0.002820 0.079529 0.283058 0.623580 1.091779 1.730237
2025-12-28 NaN 0.001785 0.082309 0.308366 0.692483 1.224362 1.952641
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000579 0.079570 0.321914 0.743122 1.332254 2.143602
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000501 0.087130 0.356662 0.826713 1.485137 2.392679
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000218 0.090276 0.382084 0.895864 1.618528 2.616964
2026-01-25 NaN NaN 0.082482 0.383124 0.926350 1.698885 2.772844
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.061125 0.351095 0.904949 1.710457 2.844136
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.041576 0.315714 0.874975 1.708706 2.897651
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.032669 0.304208 0.882776 1.758583 3.017467
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.030381 0.311931 0.923660 1.855819 3.200244
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.025137 0.307967 0.943299 1.922105 3.341644
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.017791 0.292286 0.940568 1.955160 3.438124
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.020696 0.318777 1.015426 2.102209 3.688179
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.023745 0.345698 1.091102 2.250558 3.940145
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.023791 0.360084 1.143764 2.365224 4.146940
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.029274 0.396908 1.237756 2.540665 4.435687
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.032380 0.423789 1.313494 2.689405 4.688645